THE IMPACT OF REGULATORY POLICY FOR IMPLEMENTATION OF INTERNATIONAL SCIENTIFIC AND EDUCATIONAL PROJECTS TO THE COUNTRY INNOVATIONAL POLICY OF UKRAINE
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.30857/2415-3206.2017.2.11Ключові слова:
state support, innovative projects, economic and mathematical modeling, innovative products, multifactor regression.Анотація
Introduction and goal of the research. In today's difficult economic and political conditions in the country, the project team's consideration of the political factor is a necessary requirement. Despite the fact that political problems have an indirect effect on national economies, they can have a significant impact on the activities of economic actors. The purpose of this article is to analyze the influence of the government sector on the development and implementation of international educational projects in the system of innovative development of the country; to determine the coefficients of elasticity and coefficients in order to determine the effect of regression factors on the resulting indicator, which allowed to define the formulation of scientifically substantiated proposals for improving the efficiency of innovation activity.
Methods of research. In this work, methods of statistical analysis were used to compare the development of innovation activity and the implementation of innovative projects in Ukraine over the past 10 years; economic-mathematical modeling to determine the accuracy of the forecast by calculating the relative error; calculation of the upper and lower bounds of the predicted interval by means of determining the half-width of the interval forecast.
Results of the research.In the course of the study, by substituting the values of the arguments into the equation, the author obtained the trend values of the volume of realized innovative products that grow in thelast year of the study; the obtained data of the point forecast of regression factors, with the help of synthesized multifactor regression and the obtained data, determined the forecast volume of the realized innovative products for 2019–2020. Calculated the influence of each factor on the effective index, that is, determined the coefficients and parameters of the matrix of free members. From the above calculations, the author concludes that the second largest factor, the sum of the cost of research and development, has the greatest impact on the effective indicator (volume of realized innovative products).
Conclusions. It is evident from the data obtained that the share of own funds in financing research and development during the analyzed period decreased from 79.64% to 59.35%. The volume of state financing of innovation activity in Ukraine is insignificant due to the deficit of the state budget. Under these conditions and taking into account the tendencies of the active spread of globalization processes, the diversification of sources of financing for innovation is urgent and necessary, and separate – the attraction of foreign investments for the development and implementation of international scientific and educational international projects, the implementation of which facilitates the intensification of the innovative development of the national economy, which in practice can be manifested in the growth of volumes of realized innovative products.